America celebrated Independence Day with a bang in the stock market this week, as we witnessed record numbers yet again. This impressive performance coincided with a rally in the back end of the yield ...
The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...
This is an archived article and the information in the article may be outdated. Please look at the time stamp on the story to see when it was last updated. Every Monday, Jon Hansen is joined by a ...
The yield curve is the difference between the current 10-year T-Note yield and the 2-Year T-Note yield. The Fed Funds Rate is the rate the Fed sets on overnight money to establish the demand for money ...
The yield curve spread that most accurately forecasts recessions is that between the 10-year Treasury bond yield and the 3-month Treasury bill rate. Fed economists and policymakers are also ...
Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any). Economists ...
One of the most accurate recession predictors is only half right, market veteran Ed Yardeni told Insider. The yield curve has been inverted for more than a year, but it doesn't mean a recession is ...
For much of the last two years, the 2-year US Treasury yield has traded above the 10-year yield. When that happens, it historically has meant a recession is looming. So you’d think that investors and ...
The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...
An inverted yield curve indicates short-term rates exceed long-term, suggesting economic caution. Historically, consistent negative spreads on this curve have preceded recessions. Investors might ...